39 comments
74 forecasters
[Short fuse] Will 538's election forecast rate Trump's chances higher than the forecast from The Economist?
90%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 90% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 25, 2020
Closes:Aug 12, 2020
Resolved:Aug 12, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 25, 2020
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
1% chance
2.1k
Will "Change in Average Inflation Rate" correctly predict the popular vote winner in the 2028 US presidential election?
3 forecasters
What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?
7.31
(6.97 - 7.6)
7.31
(6.97 - 7.6)
98 forecasters