289 forecasters

Will the European Union meet its 2030 targets under the Paris Climate Treaty?

20%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 12, 2017

Closed:

Mar 15, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 14, 2017

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Why countries struggle to quit fossil fuels, despite higher costs and 30 years of climate talks and treaties

The Conversation•Oct 16, 2025

Paris Agreement is working but too slowly to prevent dangerous global warming, scientists warn

Independent•Oct 16, 2025

The Global Energy Transition Rolls On—Even As The U.S. Hits Reverse

Forbes•Oct 9, 2025

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