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Longbets series: Will slaughterhouses be banned in the United Kingdom by 2050.

Dean Mullen and Jeff T Kaufman summarize their reasons for taking the bet here.

Dean Mullen writes,

Progression in animal rights and changes in societal attitudes will lead to dramatic changes in human perspectives of and the treatment of non-human animals. This I believe will culminate in slaughterhouses being made illegal in many nations by the middle of this century and I believe the United Kingdom will be among those countries.

and Jeff T Kaufman countered with,

Slaughterhouses will continue to be legal in the UK through 2050.

No country has banned slaughterhouses yet, and meat consumption is very popular. Going from "legal and common" to "completely banned" in thirty years seems very optimistic to me.

If the Long Now Foundation declares Dean Mullen the winner of the bet, then this question resolves positively. If they declare Jeff T Kaufman the winner, then this question resolves negatively.

The rules for resolution are specified as follows,

  1. The bet is to whether slaughterhouses will be prohibited in the United Kingdom by 2050.

  2. A slaughterhouse is any facility, regardless of scale, that is used to slaughter animals for the benefit of humans. This includes processing the animals into food or clothing, or as a byproduct of another industry that uses animals such as the dairy industry. This does not include euthanizing animals in shelter facilities, since this is done for the benefit of the euthanized animals. This also does not include hunting, since the animals are killed outside of any facility.

  3. The legislation must be passed and in effect by January 1st, 2050 in the United Kingdom. If the United Kingdom no longer exists, then the relevant region will be the country that includes the largest land area that was in the United Kingdom on 2019-01-01.

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