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21
94
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94 forecasters
Elections
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Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?
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2021-2022
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2023-2024
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61%
chance
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Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
2 comments
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Markets give >20% to a twice-elected president's renomination in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
4%
2027-2028
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7 comments
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