20 comments
110 forecasters
If the Republican candidate in 2020 wins the electoral college, will they lose the popular vote?
72%chance
Ambiguous
The community gave this a 72% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 16, 2020
Closes:Nov 3, 2020
Resolved:Dec 15, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 16, 2020
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
7 forecasters
Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?
0.5% chance
18
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
51% chance
134