18 comments
62 forecasters
How many successful faithless electoral votes will there be in the 2020 election?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 12, 2020
Closes:Dec 14, 2020
Resolved:Dec 15, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 14, 2020
In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?
5 forecasters
Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?
0.5% chance
18
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
7 forecasters