Question
How many of the "priority paths" identified by 80,000hours will still be priority paths in 2030?
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction
5.7 paths
(4.92 paths - 6.47 paths)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 4.925 | — |
| median | 5.702 | — |
| upper 75% | 6.468 | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 4, 2020
Closes:Jan 31, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 6, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Aug 4, 2020
Closes:Jan 31, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 6, 2020