291 forecasters

Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?

1%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

Opened:

Jul 19, 2017

Closes:

Dec 31, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 21, 2017

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