Question
When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction
19 Sep 2027
(12 Sep 2024 - >31 Dec 2029)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 12 Sep 2024 | — |
| median | 19 Sep 2027 | — |
| upper 75% | >31 Dec 2029 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >31 Dec 2029 | 31.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 5, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 7, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Aug 5, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 7, 2020