289 forecasters

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

2.8%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Aug 13, 2020

Closes:

Dec 30, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 30, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 14, 2020

Photos Show US and Allies Staging War Games Near China

Newsweek•Oct 22, 2025

US-China now in a ‘very different kind of trade war’, experts warn

Al Jazeera•Oct 22, 2025

China's submarines are getting quieter and deadlier in the seas closest to home, analysts warn

Business Insider•Oct 22, 2025

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