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57 forecasters

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57 forecasters

Economy & Business

Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?

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55 comments539 forecasters

Metaculus Existence in 2030

17 comments149 forecasters

Metaculus Predicts AI Risk Significant 2040

10 comments60 forecasters

Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?

36 comments117 forecasters

Date of Last Metaculus Resolution

Current estimate

86 comments166 forecasters

Total Number of Metaculus Predictions

11 comments168 forecasters

AI system beat human pros in forecasting tournament by 2030?

94 comments539 forecasters

Will AI progress surprise Metaculus

47 comments130 forecasters

Normal world in 2030?