Authors:
Opened:Aug 10, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Resolved:Nov 6, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 12, 2020
When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?
Sep 2047
(Dec 2033 - 2107)
Sep 2047
(Dec 2033 - 2107)
113 forecasters
Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?
7% chance
59
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Apr 2031
(21 Oct 2026 - Nov 2041)
Apr 2031
(21 Oct 2026 - Nov 2041)
182 forecasters