7 comments
57 forecasters
Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?
36%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 36% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 27, 2017
Closes:Dec 15, 2017
Resolved:Dec 18, 2018
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 29, 2017
When will a synthetic biology platform effectively degrade pesticides in field conditions?
Dec 2035
(Jun 2032 - Jun 2040)
Dec 2035
(Jun 2032 - Jun 2040)
6 forecasters
Will "slaughterbots" kill at least 50 people outside a military conflict by 2035?
80% chance
59
Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
4% chance
92