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Will there be an authentic leaked tape that costs Trump major public support in 2020?


From Wikipedia,

On October 7, 2016, during the 2016 United States presidential election, The Washington Post published a video and accompanying article about then-presidential candidate Donald Trump and television host Billy Bush having "an extremely lewd conversation about women" in 2005. Trump and Bush were in a bus on their way to film an episode of Access Hollywood, a show owned by NBCUniversal. In the video, Trump described his attempt to seduce a married woman and indicated he might start kissing a woman that he and Bush were about to meet. [...]

The recording provoked strong reactions by media figures and politicians across the political spectrum. Statements from Republican officials were varied. Some, including Trump's vice-presidential running mate Mike Pence, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, and Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus, indicated their disapproval of Trump's words but did not renounce their support or call for his resignation from the ticket. Other Republicans, most prominently former presidential nominee John McCain, stated that they would no longer support Trump's presidential campaign, and some called for his withdrawal from the ticket. House Speaker Paul Ryan announced that he would no longer defend or support Trump's campaign, although he did not officially retract his endorsement of Trump.

This question asks, will there be another incident of an authentic leaked Trump tape that upsets the election this time around in 2020?

A leaked Trump tape is defined as a video or audio recording that involves Donald Trump that was not widely available or known about before some critical event, such as a journalist revealing it to the public. A leaked Trump tape is said to have upset the election if at least 5 prominent politicians (defined below) announce their intention to withdraw their support or endorsement for Trump, and cite the tape in their announcement.

A politician is prominent if they belong to any of these classes of people,

  • Members of the House of Representatives
  • Senators
  • Sitting governors
  • Former major party presidential nominees
  • Anyone in Trump's cabinet
  • Anyone in Trump's immediate family

The tape must be considered authentic by at least 3 mainstream media sources, which for the purpose of this question are listed here: ABC News, NBC News, Fox News, PBS, BBC, CBS, The New York Times, CNN.

Determination is made via credible media reports.

Politics – US

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