6 comments
70 forecasters
Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?
42%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 42% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 14, 2017
Closes:Nov 15, 2017
Resolved:Jun 15, 2018
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 14, 2017
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1% chance
802
Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?
11% chance
155
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
17 Oct 2029
(01 Sep 2027 - 20 Nov 2029)
17 Oct 2029
(01 Sep 2027 - 20 Nov 2029)
19 forecasters