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Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?
The ongoing investigation into the potential role of Russia in the 2016 US Presidential Election has continued to heat up, with appointment by deputy Attorney General Rosenstein of former FBI director Robert Mueller to investigate
any links and/or coordination between Russian government and individuals associated with the campaign of President Donald Trump, and any matters that arose or may arise directly from the investigation.
As of August 2017, news is that Mueller has empaneled a grand jury in Washington DC. A summary of the situation can be found on Wikipedia.
Will any US citizen be jailed in connection with the FBI's investigation of potential coordination between the Trump campaign and Russia?
Resolution is positive if anyone is jailed, even temporarily (e.g. for contempt of congress) in direct connection with or as a result of the Mueller-led FBI investigation, prior to August 15, 2018.
Metaculus help: Predicting
Predictions are the heart of Metaculus. Predicting is how you contribute to the wisdom of the crowd, and how you earn points and build up your personal Metaculus track record.
The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available. With tachyons you'll even be able to go back in time and backdate your prediction to maximize your points.
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When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.