Will Robin Hanson win a bet that the GPT line of language models will generate < $1Bn in customer revenue by 2025?

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Question

Per this tweet, Robin Hanson has bet Alex Tabarrok that

Systems in GPT line will by 2025 make <$1B in customer revenue clearly tied to such systems. If product contains such as component, but also has other features, one needs to attribute best estimate % of product revenue to this one.

Will Hanson win the bet?

Resolution is positive if Tabarrok publicly concedes the bet, negative if Hanson publicly concedes the bet, and ambiguous if nobody has conceded by end of 2025.

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