Question
How many ratings will Toby Ord's book The Precipice have on Amazon on January 1st 2021?
Resolved:235Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction
237
(230 - 244)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 229.7 | — |
| median | 236.9 | — |
| upper 75% | 244.1 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1000 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?235
Community Baseline Score
103.2
Community Peer Score
22.0
Authors:
Opened:Aug 25, 2020
Closes:Dec 30, 2020
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 27, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Aug 25, 2020
Closes:Dec 30, 2020
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 27, 2020