Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
25
comments
48
forecasters
How many ratings will Toby Ord's book The Precipice have on Amazon on January 1st 2021?
community
237
result
235
Share
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments
Timeline
Question Info
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
Sylvain
Opened:
Aug 25, 2020
Closes:
Dec 30, 2020
Resolved:
Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:
Aug 27, 2020
Sports & Entertainment
2020 Leaderboard
Similar Questions
Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?
80%
chance
141
Five years after AGI, how happy will people be?
5.27 score
(4.58 - 6.65)
5.27 score
(4.58 - 6.65)
49
forecasters
How many members will Giving What We Can have on 2029-11-15, its 20th anniversary?
21.5k members
(15.1k - 31.1k)
21.5k members
(15.1k - 31.1k)
22
forecasters
Show More Questions