M

Question

How many ratings will Toby Ord's book The Precipice have on Amazon on January 1st 2021?

Resolved :235237
Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction237 (230 - 244)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%229.7
median236.9
upper 75%244.1
Upper bound
>1k0.1%

What was the final result?235

Community Baseline Score
103.2
Community Peer Score
22.0
Authors:
Opened:Aug 25, 2020
Closes:Dec 30, 2020
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021

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