Question
How many ratings will Toby Ord's book The Precipice have on Amazon on January 1st 2021?
Resolved :235237Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction237 (230 - 244)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 229.7 | — |
median | 236.9 | — |
upper 75% | 244.1 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>1k | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?235
Community Baseline Score
103.2
Community Peer Score
22.0
Authors:
Opened:Aug 25, 2020
Closes:Dec 30, 2020
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 25, 2020
Closes:Dec 30, 2020
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021