Question

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Total Forecasters1696
Community Prediction
Aug 2033
(15 Jun 2028 - Jan 2045)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%15 Jun 2028
medianAug 2033
upper 75%Jan 2045
Upper bound
>21991.4%
Opened:Aug 23, 2020
Closes:Dec 24, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Dec 24, 2199
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 25, 2020