Question

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Total Forecasters1695
Community Prediction
May 2033
(16 Apr 2028 - May 2044)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%16 Apr 2028
medianMay 2033
upper 75%May 2044
Upper bound
>21991.4%
Opened:Aug 23, 2020
Closes:Dec 24, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Dec 24, 2199
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 25, 2020