Question

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Total Forecasters1719
Community Prediction
Feb 2033
(31 Jan 2028 - Sep 2043)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%31 Jan 2028
medianFeb 2033
upper 75%Sep 2043
Upper bound
>21992.0%
Opened:Aug 23, 2020
Closes:Dec 24, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Dec 24, 2199
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 25, 2020