Question

Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?

Resolved:No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters261

Community Prediction

33%

(20% - 54%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

29.8

Community Baseline Score

-10.4

Authors:

Greg

Opened:

Aug 15, 2017

Closes:

Aug 1, 2018

Resolves:

Feb 6, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 16, 2017

Environment & Climate

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Summer 2025 was the hottest on RECORD in the UK: Average temperature hit a balmy 16.10°C – 1.51°C above average, Met Office confirms

Daily Mail•Sep 1, 2025

Summer 2025 will ‘almost certainly’ be UK’s warmest on record, Met Office says

Guardian•Aug 26, 2025

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Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?

3.5%

Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

20%