27 comments
52 forecasters
How many Arab League member states will have normalized relations with Israel in 2027?
Current estimate
6.48 states
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2020
Closes:Oct 8, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Oct 8, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 30, 2020
Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?
59% chance
51
Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?
67% chance
59
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Donald Trump's second presidency?
30% chance
23