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21
60
forecasters
6
21 comments
60 forecasters
Politics
1 more...
Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?
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73%
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65%
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Israel and Saudi Arabia relation normalized by 2029?
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Iranian Nuclear Weapons before 2041
32%
chance
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Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action revived by December 2028?
50%
chance
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Israel GNI/capita in 2031 if Iran bomb
Current estimate
118 k$
3 comments
9 forecasters
Israel GNI/capita in 2031 if no Iran bomb
Current estimate
56 k$
9 comments
126 forecasters
Who gets nukes by 2035?
Iran
21%
Saudi Arabia
15%
South Korea
10%
Poland
5%
6 others