5 comments
44 forecasters
LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?
71%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 71% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 26, 2017
Closes:Oct 1, 2017
Resolved:Oct 17, 2017
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 27, 2017
Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?
65% chance
200
Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?
7% chance
81
Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?
53% chance
18