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LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?

Twitter is not necessarily the first-choice medium for publishing scientific results, but sometimes rumors turn out to be true. On August 18th, J. Craig Wheeler of UT Austin tweeted: "New LIGO. Source with optical counterpart. Blow your sox off." Peter Yoachim at the University of Washington followed with tweets suggesting that the responsible party was a pair of neutron stars in the 40 Mpc-distant, and otherwise highly obscure galaxy NGC 4993.

As detailed in this Nature News article, numerous major telescopes, including HST and Chandra have recently been pointed at NGC 4993. The rumored gravitational wave event, furthermore, may be associated with the short gamma ray burst event SGRB 170817A.

Will a paper authored (or co-authored) by the LIGO Collaboration appear in a peer-reviewed journal prior to February 1, 2018 announcing with high confidence the detection of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?


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Metaculus help: Community Stats

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