Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
42
91
forecasters
30
42 comments
91 forecasters
AI Demonstrations
2 more...
When will AI achieve competency on multi-choice questions across diverse fields of expertise (MMLU)?
Follow
share
embed
community
18 Aug 2025
result
20 Jun 2025 00:01 UTC
Resolved
20 Jun 2025 00:01 UTC
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (42)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
24 comments
143 forecasters
AI Competency on Competitive Programming
Current estimate
10 Oct 2027
22 comments
30 forecasters
General AI solves International Math Olympiad
Current estimate
23 Jul 2026
653 comments
1.9k forecasters
Date of Artificial General Intelligence
Current estimate
Jan 2033
8 comments
30 forecasters
Highest GPQA Diamond Score 2024 to 2027
0 comments
64 forecasters
When will an AI achieve an score of 1.5 or higher in the RE-bench at any time budget between 8h and 32h?
Current estimate
16 Nov 2027
26 comments
739 forecasters
Top ARC-AGI-2 score in 2026?
Current estimate
92.9
11 comments
172 forecasters
AI system beat human pros in forecasting tournament by 2030?
98%
chance
1 comment
17 forecasters
Question Answering on Long Texts by 2030
Current estimate
96.4%