M

Question

When will AI achieve competency on multi-choice questions across diverse fields of expertise (MMLU)?

Total Forecasters87
Community Prediction2025-08-07 (2024-10-23 - 2026-09-10)

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CDF

weight:
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%Oct 2024
medianAug 2025
upper 75%Sep 2026
Upper bound
>2039-12-311.0%
Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2040

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