Question
How many major wars will begin between 2021 and 2031?
Total Forecasters103
Community Prediction
5.45
(4.02 - 7.13)
Make a Prediction
CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 4.018 | — |
| median | 5.447 | — |
| upper 75% | 7.133 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10 | 5.1% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Oct 14, 2020
Closed:Jan 1, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2033
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 16, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Oct 14, 2020
Closed:Jan 1, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2033
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 16, 2020