40 comments
150 forecasters
Will voter turnout for the US 2020 presidential election be higher than 2016 by 2 percentage points or more?
85%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 85% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
Opened:Oct 19, 2020
Closes:Oct 30, 2020
Resolved:Nov 13, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 20, 2020
Will international enrolled graduate students in the US see a greater percentage decrease (or smaller increase) in Trump's first year compared to undergraduates?
35% chance
9
Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
90% chance
25
What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?
7.32
(6.96 - 7.67)
7.32
(6.96 - 7.67)
94 forecasters