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Donald Trump USA President on 2021-01-21

Created by Sylvain and

co-authors

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on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}

The 2020 USA Presidential election is widely expected to be contested. Notably, the higher proportion of mail ballots brought by the COVID-19 epidemic could lead vote counting to take weeks instead of the usual days. The incumbent has also refused to commit to a peaceful transition of power.

Metaculus already has a question asking whether Donald Trump will be reelected, but it is conditional on the result being known within a week. In view of the above, this question asks:

Will Donald Trump be President of the United States of America on 2021-01-21?

This question resolves positive if Donald Trump is the President of the USA at 12:00 AM EST on 2021-01-21.

It resolves negative if he is not president at that time.

Categories:

Elections – U.S. – President

Politics – US

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