623 comments
755 forecasters
Will Donald Trump be President of the United States of America on 2021-01-21?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 8, 2020
Closes:Jan 19, 2021
Resolved:Jan 20, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 8, 2020
Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?
23% chance
52
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1% chance
803
Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?
5% chance
132