Question
When will the Sentinelese cease to be an uncontacted people?
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction
Sep 2040
(Nov 2032 - Jun 2054)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Nov 2032 | — |
| median | Sep 2040 | — |
| upper 75% | Jun 2054 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 3.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 2, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 4, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Nov 2, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 4, 2020