Question
When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?
Total Forecasters61
Community Prediction
28 Feb 2026
(27 Mar 2025 - 27 Jun 2027)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 27 Mar 2025 | — |
| median | 28 Feb 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | 27 Jun 2027 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2034 | 1.7% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 2, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 2, 2021
