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51
109
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109 forecasters
Elections
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Will 538 outperform PredictIt forecasting the 2020 Presidential Elections?
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"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will be below 0% for the 2028 election
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2023-2024
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2025-2026
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2027-2028
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59.9%
Republican Party
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Other
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US stock market crash of >10% in any week before 2027?
41.5%
chance
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Polymarket "Holding Rewards" falls below 4% before 2028?
50%
chance
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What will be the Dem Electoral College margin in 2028?
Current estimate
-0.644 votes
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135 forecasters
What will be US' Democracy Index for 2026?
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