Question

What will be the maximum probability 538 assigns Trump in their live election prediction?

Resolved:Ambiguous
Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction
16.3
(10.6 - 38.9)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%10.57
median16.34
upper 75%38.92

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Opened:Oct 24, 2020
Closes:Nov 3, 2020
Resolves:Nov 3, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 26, 2020