Question
What will be the maximum probability 538 assigns Trump in their live election prediction?
Resolved:AmbiguousTotal Forecasters35
Community Prediction
16.3
(10.6 - 38.9)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 10.57 | — |
median | 16.34 | — |
upper 75% | 38.92 | — |
What was the final result?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Oct 24, 2020
Closes:Nov 3, 2020
Resolves:Nov 3, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 26, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Oct 24, 2020
Closes:Nov 3, 2020
Resolves:Nov 3, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 26, 2020