Question

When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?

38 comments38

Total Forecasters117

Community Prediction2029-04-21

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My Prediction

community

<2020-10-29

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2090-10-24

...

4.5%

2025-07-07 01:37

2029-04-21 21:57

2037-01-25 19:37

1.9%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Intelligence quotient

In vitro fertilisation

Polygenic score

Education

Neuroenhancement

Reproductive medicine

When will some country do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?

2050-10-21

How good will the best published polygenic score be for intelligence in 2026?

2.56e-1

When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?

2034-09-19

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