Question
When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?
Total Forecasters118
Community Prediction
12 Aug 2029
(09 Oct 2025 - Jan 2037)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <29 Oct 2020 | 4.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 09 Oct 2025 | — |
| median | 12 Aug 2029 | — |
| upper 75% | Jan 2037 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2090 | 1.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 26, 2020
Closes:Oct 24, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Oct 25, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 28, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Oct 26, 2020
Closes:Oct 24, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Oct 25, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 28, 2020