Question

When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?

Total Forecasters118
Community Prediction
12 Aug 2029
(09 Oct 2025 - Jan 2037)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<29 Oct 20204.5%
Quartiles
lower 25%09 Oct 2025
median12 Aug 2029
upper 75%Jan 2037
Upper bound
>20901.7%
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 26, 2020
Closes:Oct 24, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Oct 25, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 28, 2020