Question
When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?
Total Forecasters116
Community Prediction
04 Sep 2029
(17 Sep 2025 - Mar 2037)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <29 Oct 2020 | 4.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 17 Sep 2025 | — |
| median | 04 Sep 2029 | — |
| upper 75% | Mar 2037 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2090 | 1.8% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Oct 26, 2020
Closes:Oct 24, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Oct 25, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 28, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Oct 26, 2020
Closes:Oct 24, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Oct 25, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 28, 2020
