36 forecasters

How many consumer plug-in electric vehicles (PEV) will be sold in the US in 2020?

community

290k

result

297.939k

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Oct 27, 2020

Closes:

Dec 5, 2020

Resolved:

Apr 12, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 29, 2020

Economy & Business

2020-2021 Leaderboard

In 10 Years, Electric Cars Will Only Be Half of the Global Market

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2025

EV sales are setting records ahead of the tax credit going away. It isn't helping Tesla.

Business Insider•Sep 11, 2025

EVs: More Hype Than Reality

American Thinker•Sep 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

(26 Oct 2025 - 26 Feb 2027)

(26 Oct 2025 - 26 Feb 2027)

What percentage of US car sales will be all-electric in 2050?

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?