🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many consumer plug-in electric vehicles (PEV) will be sold in the US in 2020?

Resolved :298k290k
6
5
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction290k (267k - 315k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
266.6k
290.2k
314.8k

What was the final result?298k

Community Baseline Score
81.3
Community Peer Score
22.1
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2020-2021 Leaderboard
Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy
United States
US Department of Energy
Medicine
Plug-in electric vehicles in the United States
Virology

Comments

? comments