36 forecasters

How many consumer plug-in electric vehicles (PEV) will be sold in the US in 2020?

community

290k

result

297.939k

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Oct 27, 2020

Closes:

Dec 5, 2020

Resolved:

Apr 12, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 29, 2020

Economy & Business

🏆 2020-2021 Leaderboard

Why EV lease deals remain attractive even after the federal tax credit expired

USA Today•Oct 19, 2025

Legacy Automakers Tap the Brakes on EVs as Road to Mass Adoption Gets Bumpy

Observer (NY)•Oct 16, 2025

GM takes $1.6 billion hit on electric vehicle rollout as U.S. automakers rethink future

NBC•Oct 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

(01 Nov 2025 - 18 Mar 2027)

(01 Nov 2025 - 18 Mar 2027)

What percentage of US car sales will be all-electric in 2050?

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?