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Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?
All of the largest, and probably all, cryptocurrency exchange in China have as of question writing announced that they will shut down, due to China's ban on cryptocurrency trading and ICOs.
Other countries seem be less willing (and may be less able) to ban cryptocurrency exchanges, but it could happen. We ask:
Will a major cryptocurrency exchange outside of China shut down by Nov. 30 2017 citing a request or order from its host country's national government?
For these purposes we'll consider a "major" exchange to mean one with a daily trading volume of >$5 M as of 9/24/17, which includes about the top 40 exchanges. "Shut down" will mean that an official announcement by the exchange is released stating that all cryptocurrency trading will shut down by a specific date.
(Edit 9/24/17: changed "major" criterion to start at $5M not $50M in daily trading volume, which was a typo.)
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When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.