🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the differential in sales between the most-sold and second most-sold consumer electric vehicles in America in 2021?

Resolved :39.9k117k
3
8
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction117k (91.7k - 144k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction
community
<0
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>150k
...
...
...
...
...
0.9%
91.66k
116.9k
143.9k
20.7%

What was the final result?39.9k

Community Baseline Score
-54.4
Community Peer Score
16.1
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2020-2021 Leaderboard
Physics
Energy
Chemistry
Tesla
Tesla Model 3
Lithium-ion battery
Toyota Prius Plug-in Hybrid
Tesla Model S
United States

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