🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many new electric bus registrations will Europe see in 2021?

Resolved :3k3.36k
2
2
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction3.36k (2.65k - 4.32k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction
community
<500
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>25k
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
2.65k
3.355k
4.316k
0.2%

What was the final result?3k

Community Baseline Score
71.7
Community Peer Score
5.5
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2016-2025 Leaderboard
International Energy Agency
Europe
European Union
China
Electric bus

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