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Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?
The vaquita porpoise (Phocoena sinus) is the most endangered cetacean species, with recent estimates of population around 30 individuals. The species is located exclusively in the Gulf of California, limiting its potential habitats, and has been decimated by fishermen who employ highly effective gillnets to catch the totoaba fish, also critically endangered and highly valued in Chinese markets.
Mexico has declared bans on gill netting in an attempt to save the vaquita, but populations have continued to decline.
Conservationists are hoping to develop a plan to bring some vaquitas into captivity as a last-ditch attempt to save the species, but by the time such a plan is implemented, it may be too late.
Will the vaquita be declared extinct before 2020?
This question will resolve as positive if the first IUCN Red List update published after January 1, 2020 lists Phocoena sinus as extinct.
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When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.