Question

Will the US take military action in N. Korea?

Resolved:No

17

Total Forecasters80

Community Prediction

25%

(15% - 36%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

13.0

Community Baseline Score

59.5

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 27, 2017

Closes:

Nov 15, 2017

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 28, 2017

2016-2020 Leaderboard

US Flexes Stealth Jet Muscles at North Korea

Newsweek•Aug 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the following countries intervene military if there is a Second Korean War by 2050?

Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 27, 2017

Closes:

Nov 15, 2017

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 28, 2017

2016-2020 Leaderboard

US Flexes Stealth Jet Muscles at North Korea

Newsweek•Aug 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the following countries intervene military if there is a Second Korean War by 2050?

Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?