29 comments
222 forecasters
Will Trump freely leave the White House?
96%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 96% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
Opened:Nov 11, 2020
Closes:Jan 15, 2021
Resolved:Jan 20, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 11, 2020
Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?
26% chance
54
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1% chance
802
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
50 forecasters