Question
When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?
Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction
02 Feb 2026
(04 Oct 2025 - 27 Jan 2027)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Jan 2022 | 0.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 04 Oct 2025 | — |
| median | 02 Feb 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | 27 Jan 2027 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2035 | 1.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 15, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Nov 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 15, 2020